What the heck does "duration" mean?
Why a bond's duration is as important, or more important, as it's maturity
A bond's maturity show's when you'll be paid the bond's face value
Duration is a weighted measure of when you'll get your money back from a bond investment
Duration considers coupon payments
The duration of a zero-coupon bond equals the bond's maturity
For two bonds that mature at the same time
The bond with the higher coupon payment has the lower duration
Example
- Newly issued bond which makes semiannual coupon payments
- Market interest rates for this bond demand 8 percent interest
- The bond makes a final repayment of $1,000 after 10 years
Annual coupon rate Semiannual coupon payment Bond value Bond duration 0%
$0
$456
10 years
6
30
864
7.45
8
40
1,000
7.07
10
50
1,135
6.77
The duration of a bond reflects the interest rate risk in the bond
Bonds with higher durations face higher interest rate risk
See how the same bond illustrated above reacts to different interest rates
- Newly issued bond which makes semiannual coupon payments
- Market interest rates for this bond demand 8 percent interest
- The bond makes a final repayment of $1,000 after 10 years
Annual coupon rate
Bond duration
Market rates drop to 7 percent
Initial price at 8 percent market rate
Market rates rise to 9 percent
Bond price
Change in price
Bond price
Change in Price
0%
10 years
$503
10.3%
$456
$414
-9.2%
6
7.45
929
7.5
864
805
-6.8
8
7.07
1,071
7.1
1,000
935
-6.5
10
6.77
1,213
6.9
1,135
1,065
-6.2
In the above table, bonds with higher durations had a bigger loss when interest rates rose
Similarly, bonds with higher durations had a bigger gain when interest rates fell
Here's a good rule of thumb regarding interest rate risk
When interest rates rise one percent, the percentage loss in a bond's value equals the bond's duration
The same holds true for appreciation in a bond's price when interest rates fall
Bond duration
Change in bond price
Rates fall 1 percent Rates rise 1 percent 1 year
1%
-1%
3
3
-3
10
10
-10
This underscores the fact that long-term bonds are much riskier with respect to interest rate risk than short-term bonds